The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League semi-final between PSG (France) and Arsenal (England) will take place on May 7 at the Parc des Princes in Paris. The first leg ended 1-0 in favor of PSG. PSG vs. Arsenal: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
PSG
The Parisians managed to break their winless streak against Arsenal by securing a 1-0 victory in the first encounter. The only goal was scored by Ousmane Dembele, who netted his 25th goal in all competitions in 2025, a feat unmatched by any other player in the top five European leagues. To reach the Champions League final, Luis Enrique's team simply needs to avoid defeat, having won 8 of their last 10 matches in the competition. If PSG loses by exactly one goal, extra time will be played.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of PSG's last 7 Champions League matches.
- The club has conceded goals in 5 of their last 6 home games in this tournament.
- The French side has not lost in 5 of their last 7 home matches in the Champions League (4 wins, 1 draw).
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, William Pacho, Marquinhos, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Joao Neves – Ousmane Dembele, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Désiré Doué.
Defender Presnel Kimpembe is injured.
Arsenal
The British team struggles with semi-final matches. Arsenal has not won in their last 7 encounters at this stage in all competitions. Additionally, their 8-match scoring streak in the Champions League has ended. To advance to the next round, Mikel Arteta's team needs to win by at least two goals. Notably, they have won 7 of their last 9 Champions League matches, with 5 of those victories by the required margin. However, only 2 out of 13 clubs that lost at home in the first leg of a Champions League semi-final have managed to reach the final.
- The British team has scored at least two goals in 8 of their last 9 Champions League matches.
- Arsenal is on a 4-match winning streak away in this tournament.
- In their last 6 away games in the Champions League, the Londoners have conceded exactly 1 goal.
Predicted lineup for Arsenal (4-3-3)
David Raya – Miles Lewis-Skelly, Ben White, William Saliba, Jakub Kiwior – Thomas Partey, Declan Rice, Martin Ødegaard – Bukayo Saka, Gabriel Martinelli, Leandro Trossard.
Forwards Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus, midfielder Jorginho, as well as defenders Gabriel Magalhaes and Takehiro Tomiyasu, are out due to injuries.
Referee
Felix Zwayer (Germany)
Matches – 12 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 73;
Average yellow cards per match – 6.1;
Red cards shown – 6;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 42%.
PSG vs. Arsenal: Match Prediction
In the first match, PSG scored an early goal but did not retreat into defense, continuing to pressure the hosts' defense. Luis Enrique's team could have both increased their lead and conceded several times. Arsenal also looked strong in attack, and now the Londoners have no choice but to seek success offensively.
Before the previous encounter, the British team had scored in 8 consecutive Champions League matches. In their last 4 away games in this tournament, Arsenal scored a total of 16 goals. However, they have also conceded in their last 6 away Champions League matches. PSG has scored 17 goals in seven home games in the 2024/25 Champions League, but they have only kept a clean sheet twice during this period.
PSG is likely to continue their aggressive approach. It would be unusual to see defensive football from the Parisians in front of their home fans. Arsenal, on the other hand, needs a win, and the British team rarely goes without scoring in two consecutive matches. I expect both teams to convert more chances than in London.
My prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
